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Weekend weather – Sar-e Spīn

This weekend

See Sar-e Spīn weather this weekend.

Date
Afternoon C° at 15 F° at 3 PM
Overnight C° at 03 F° at 3 AM
Wind m/s mph
Precip Total precip mm in
Sun 28
+14° 57° Clear
+3° 37° Clear
NW 2 m/s 4 mph
0 mm 0 in

Clear.
Morning temperature of 7 °C, afternoon 13°, evening 4° and night 2°.

Clear.
Morning temperature of 45 degrees, afternoon 56°, evening 40° and night 36°.

12 AM 24
Clear
37° +3° 37° +3° 88%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Clear
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
1 AM 01
Clear
36° +2° 36° +2° 85%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Clear
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
2 AM 02
Clear
36° +2° 36° +2° 81%
0 in 0 mm
NW 1 2
Clear
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
3 AM 03
Clear
36° +2° 36° +2° 78%
0 in 0 mm
NW 1 2
Clear
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
4 AM 04
Clear
36° +2° 32° 0° 75%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
5 AM 05
Clear
39° +4° 36° +2° 69%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
6 AM 06
Clear
43° +6° 41° +5° 58%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
7 AM 07
Clear
45° +7° 43° +6° 48%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
8 AM 08
Clear
48° +9° 46° +8° 42%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Clear
Gust 20 mph 9 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
9 AM 09
Clear
52° +11° 52° +11° 37%
0 in 0 mm
NW 3 7
Clear
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
10 AM 10
Clear
54° +12° 54° +12° 34%
0 in 0 mm
NW 3 7
Clear
Gust 27 mph 12 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
11 AM 11
Clear
55° +13° 55° +13° 33%
0 in 0 mm
NW 4 9
Clear
Gust 29 mph 13 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
12 PM 12
Clear
57° +14° 57° +14° 32%
0 in 0 mm
NW 4 9
Clear
Gust 29 mph 13 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
1 PM 13
Clear
57° +14° 57° +14° 32%
0 in 0 mm
NW 4 9
Clear
Gust 31 mph 14 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
2 PM 14
Clear
57° +14° 57° +14° 34%
0 in 0 mm
NW 4 9
Clear
Gust 31 mph 14 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
3 PM 15
Clear
57° +14° 57° +14° 35%
0 in 0 mm
NW 4 9
Clear
Gust 29 mph 13 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
4 PM 16
Clear
55° +13° 55° +13° 36%
0 in 0 mm
NW 4 9
Clear
Gust 27 mph 12 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
5 PM 17
Clear
52° +11° 52° +11° 38%
0 in 0 mm
NW 3 7
Clear
Gust 27 mph 12 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
6 PM 18
Clear
48° +9° 45° +7° 44%
0 in 0 mm
NW 3 7
Clear
Gust 25 mph 11 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
7 PM 19
Clear
43° +6° 41° +5° 57%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Clear
Gust 20 mph 9 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
8 PM 20
Clear
41° +5° 41° +5° 66%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
9 PM 21
Clear
39° +4° 39° +4° 71%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
10 PM 22
Clear
39° +4° 39° +4° 76%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
11 PM 23
Clear
37° +3° 34° +1° 77%
0 in 0 mm
N 2 4
Clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
Fri 3
+14° 57° Partly cloudy and light rain
+4° 39° Partly cloudy and light rain
SW 1 m/s 2 mph
1.3 mm 0.05 in

Morning and evening mostly clear, afternoon and night light rain.
Morning temperature of 8 °C, afternoon 13°, evening 4° and night 3°.

Morning and evening mostly clear, afternoon and night light rain.
Morning temperature of 47 degrees, afternoon 56°, evening 40° and night 38°.

12 AM 24
Mostly clear
39° +4° 39° +4° 86%
0 in 0 mm
N 0 0
Mostly clear
Gust 7 mph 3 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
1 AM 01
Mostly clear
37° +3° 37° +3° 81%
0 in 0 mm
N 0 0
Mostly clear
Gust 7 mph 3 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
2 AM 02
Clear
37° +3° 37° +3° 78%
0 in 0 mm
N 0 0
Clear
Gust 7 mph 3 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
3 AM 03
Clear
37° +3° 37° +3° 75%
0 in 0 mm
N 0 0
Clear
Gust 7 mph 3 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
4 AM 04
Clear
37° +3° 37° +3° 71%
0 in 0 mm
N 0 0
Clear
Gust 7 mph 3 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
5 AM 05
Clear
41° +5° 41° +5° 66%
0 in 0 mm
NW 0 0
Clear
Gust 7 mph 3 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
6 AM 06
Clear
45° +7° 45° +7° 61%
0 in 0 mm
W 0 0
Clear
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
7 AM 07
Mostly clear
46° +8° 46° +8° 56%
0 in 0 mm
W 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
8 AM 08
Mostly clear
50° +10° 50° +10° 51%
0 in 0 mm
SW 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 15%
9 AM 09
Mostly clear
54° +12° 54° +12° 46%
0 in 0 mm
SW 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance 28%
10 AM 10
Mostly clear
55° +13° 55° +13° 41%
0 in 0 mm
SW 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance 41%
11 AM 11
Partly cloudy and light rain
57° +14° 57° +14° 41%
0.01 in 0.1 mm
SW 1 2
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance 49%
12 PM 12
Partly cloudy and light rain
57° +14° 57° +14° 42%
0.01 in 0.1 mm
W 1 2
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 20 mph 9 m/s
Precip chance 58%
1 PM 13
Partly cloudy and light rain
59° +15° 59° +15° 42%
0.01 in 0.1 mm
W 1 2
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance 66%
2 PM 14
Partly cloudy and light rain
57° +14° 57° +14° 43%
0.01 in 0.1 mm
W 1 2
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance 68%
3 PM 15
Partly cloudy and light rain
57° +14° 57° +14° 43%
0.01 in 0.1 mm
W 1 2
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance 70%
4 PM 16
Partly cloudy and light rain
55° +13° 55° +13° 44%
0.01 in 0.1 mm
W 1 2
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance 73%
5 PM 17
Mostly clear
52° +11° 52° +11° 48%
0 in 0 mm
W 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 20 mph 9 m/s
Precip chance 67%
6 PM 18
Mostly clear
48° +9° 48° +9° 52%
0 in 0 mm
W 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance 61%
7 PM 19
Mostly clear
43° +6° 43° +6° 57%
0 in 0 mm
W 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance 55%
8 PM 20
Mostly clear
41° +5° 41° +5° 61%
0 in 0 mm
W 0 0
Mostly clear
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 49%
9 PM 21
Mostly clear
41° +5° 41° +5° 65%
0 in 0 mm
SW 0 0
Mostly clear
Gust 11 mph 5 m/s
Precip chance 43%
10 PM 22
Mostly clear
39° +4° 39° +4° 70%
0 in 0 mm
SE 0 0
Mostly clear
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 38%
11 PM 23
Partly cloudy and light rain
39° +4° 39° +4° 71%
0 in 0.1 mm
SE 0 0
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 33%
Sat 4
+9° 48° Partly cloudy and showers
+3° 37° Mostly clear
SW 1 m/s 2 mph
4.5 mm 0.18 in

Showers, evening and night mostly clear.
Morning temperature of 8 °C, afternoon 8°, evening 3° and night 2°.

Showers, evening and night mostly clear.
Morning temperature of 47 degrees, afternoon 47°, evening 38° and night 36°.

12 AM 24
Partly cloudy and light rain
39° +4° 39° +4° 72%
0 in 0.1 mm
SE 0 0
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 29%
1 AM 01
Partly cloudy and light rain
37° +3° 37° +3° 74%
0 in 0.1 mm
SE 0 0
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 25%
2 AM 02
Partly cloudy and light rain
39° +4° 39° +4° 75%
0 in 0.1 mm
SE 0 0
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 21%
3 AM 03
Partly cloudy and light rain
39° +4° 39° +4° 76%
0 in 0.1 mm
SE 0 0
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 7 mph 3 m/s
Precip chance 17%
4 AM 04
Partly cloudy and light rain
39° +4° 39° +4° 77%
0 in 0.1 mm
SE 1 2
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 7 mph 3 m/s
Precip chance 13%
5 AM 05
Partly cloudy and light rain
43° +6° 43° +6° 74%
0.01 in 0.2 mm
SE 0 0
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 21%
6 AM 06
Partly cloudy and light rain
45° +7° 45° +7° 72%
0.01 in 0.2 mm
S 1 2
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 11 mph 5 m/s
Precip chance 28%
7 AM 07
Partly cloudy and light rain
48° +9° 48° +9° 69%
0.01 in 0.2 mm
S 1 2
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 36%
8 AM 08
Partly cloudy and light rain
48° +9° 48° +9° 66%
0.01 in 0.2 mm
SW 1 2
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance 44%
9 AM 09
Partly cloudy and light rain
50° +10° 50° +10° 63%
0.01 in 0.2 mm
SW 1 2
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance 52%
10 AM 10
Partly cloudy and light rain
50° +10° 50° +10° 60%
0.01 in 0.2 mm
SW 1 2
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 20 mph 9 m/s
Precip chance 60%
11 AM 11
Partly cloudy and showers
50° +10° 50° +10° 61%
0.02 in 0.4 mm
SW 1 2
Partly cloudy and showers
Gust 20 mph 9 m/s
Precip chance 64%
12 PM 12
Partly cloudy and showers
50° +10° 50° +10° 61%
0.02 in 0.4 mm
SW 1 2
Partly cloudy and showers
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance 68%
1 PM 13
Partly cloudy and showers
50° +10° 50° +10° 62%
0.02 in 0.4 mm
W 1 2
Partly cloudy and showers
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance 72%
2 PM 14
Partly cloudy and showers
50° +10° 50° +10° 63%
0.02 in 0.4 mm
W 1 2
Partly cloudy and showers
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance 77%
3 PM 15
Partly cloudy and showers
48° +9° 48° +9° 64%
0.02 in 0.4 mm
W 1 2
Partly cloudy and showers
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance 81%
4 PM 16
Partly cloudy and showers
46° +8° 46° +8° 65%
0.02 in 0.4 mm
NW 1 2
Partly cloudy and showers
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance 85%
5 PM 17
Partly cloudy
45° +7° 45° +7° 68%
0 in 0 mm
NW 1 2
Partly cloudy
Gust 20 mph 9 m/s
Precip chance 81%
6 PM 18
Partly cloudy
43° +6° 43° +6° 71%
0 in 0 mm
NW 1 2
Partly cloudy
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance 76%
7 PM 19
Partly cloudy
41° +5° 41° +5° 73%
0 in 0 mm
NW 1 2
Partly cloudy
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance 71%
8 PM 20
Mostly clear
39° +4° 39° +4° 76%
0 in 0 mm
NW 0 0
Mostly clear
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 67%
9 PM 21
Mostly clear
37° +3° 37° +3° 79%
0 in 0 mm
NW 0 0
Mostly clear
Gust 11 mph 5 m/s
Precip chance 62%
10 PM 22
Mostly clear
37° +3° 37° +3° 82%
0 in 0 mm
N 0 0
Mostly clear
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 58%
11 PM 23
Mostly clear
36° +2° 36° +2° 81%
0 in 0 mm
NE 0 0
Mostly clear
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 50%

Next weekend

See Sar-e Spīn weather next weekend.

Date
Afternoon C° at 15 F° at 3 PM
Overnight C° at 03 F° at 3 AM
Wind m/s mph
Precip Total precip mm in
Sun 5
+11° 52° Partly cloudy and light rain
+4° 39° Mostly clear
NW 1 m/s 2 mph
0.4 mm 0.02 in

Afternoon light rain, evening clear, morning and night mostly clear.
Morning temperature of 8 °C, afternoon 10°, evening 4° and night 3°.

Afternoon light rain, evening clear, morning and night mostly clear.
Morning temperature of 47 degrees, afternoon 51°, evening 40° and night 38°.

12 AM 24
Mostly clear
36° +2° 36° +2° 80%
0 in 0 mm
E 0 0
Mostly clear
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 43%
1 AM 01
Mostly clear
36° +2° 36° +2° 80%
0 in 0 mm
E 0 0
Mostly clear
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 35%
2 AM 02
Mostly clear
36° +2° 36° +2° 79%
0 in 0 mm
E 0 0
Mostly clear
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 28%
3 AM 03
Mostly clear
36° +2° 36° +2° 79%
0 in 0 mm
E 0 0
Mostly clear
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 20%
4 AM 04
Mostly clear
37° +3° 37° +3° 78%
0 in 0 mm
E 0 0
Mostly clear
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 13%
5 AM 05
Mostly clear
41° +5° 41° +5° 72%
0 in 0 mm
SE 0 0
Mostly clear
Gust 11 mph 5 m/s
Precip chance 15%
6 AM 06
Mostly clear
43° +6° 43° +6° 65%
0 in 0 mm
S 0 0
Mostly clear
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 18%
7 AM 07
Mostly clear
46° +8° 46° +8° 58%
0 in 0 mm
SW 0 0
Mostly clear
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance 20%
8 AM 08
Clear
48° +9° 48° +9° 52%
0 in 0 mm
SW 1 2
Clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance 23%
9 AM 09
Clear
50° +10° 50° +10° 45%
0 in 0 mm
SW 1 2
Clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance 25%
10 AM 10
Clear
52° +11° 52° +11° 38%
0 in 0 mm
SW 1 2
Clear
Gust 20 mph 9 m/s
Precip chance 28%
11 AM 11
Partly cloudy and light rain
52° +11° 52° +11° 39%
0 in 0.1 mm
W 1 2
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance 33%
12 PM 12
Partly cloudy and light rain
54° +12° 54° +12° 39%
0 in 0.1 mm
W 1 2
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance 38%
1 PM 13
Partly cloudy and light rain
54° +12° 54° +12° 39%
0 in 0.1 mm
W 1 2
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance 43%
2 PM 14
Partly cloudy and light rain
52° +11° 52° +11° 39%
0 in 0.1 mm
W 1 2
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance 48%
3 PM 15
Partly cloudy and light rain
52° +11° 52° +11° 40%
0 in 0.1 mm
W 1 2
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 25 mph 11 m/s
Precip chance 53%
4 PM 16
Partly cloudy and light rain
50° +10° 50° +10° 40%
0 in 0.1 mm
NW 1 2
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 25 mph 11 m/s
Precip chance 58%
5 PM 17
Mostly clear
48° +9° 48° +9° 44%
0 in 0 mm
NW 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance 52%
6 PM 18
Mostly clear
46° +8° 46° +8° 48%
0 in 0 mm
NW 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 20 mph 9 m/s
Precip chance 45%
7 PM 19
Mostly clear
43° +6° 43° +6° 52%
0 in 0 mm
NW 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance 39%
8 PM 20
Clear
41° +5° 41° +5° 56%
0 in 0 mm
NW 0 0
Clear
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance 32%
9 PM 21
Clear
41° +5° 41° +5° 60%
0 in 0 mm
N 0 0
Clear
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 26%
10 PM 22
Clear
39° +4° 39° +4° 64%
0 in 0 mm
E 0 0
Clear
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 19%
11 PM 23
Clear
39° +4° 39° +4° 63%
0 in 0 mm
E 0 0
Clear
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 16%
Fri 10
+12° 54° Partly cloudy
+5° 41° Mostly clear
NW 1 m/s 2 mph
0 mm 0 in

Partly cloudy.
Morning temperature of 10 °C, afternoon 12°, evening 6° and night 4°.

Partly cloudy.
Morning temperature of 51 degrees, afternoon 54°, evening 43° and night 40°.

12 AM 24
Clear
39° +4° 39° +4° 69%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Clear
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 17%
1 AM 01
Clear
39° +4° 39° +4° 70%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Clear
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 14%
2 AM 02
Clear
39° +4° 39° +4° 70%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Clear
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 10%
3 AM 03
Clear
39° +4° 39° +4° 71%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Clear
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
4 AM 04
Clear
41° +5° 41° +5° 72%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Clear
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
5 AM 05
Mostly clear
43° +6° 43° +6° 68%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 11 mph 5 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
6 AM 06
Mostly clear
46° +8° 46° +8° 63%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 11 mph 5 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
7 AM 07
Mostly clear
50° +10° 50° +10° 59%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
8 AM 08
Mostly clear
52° +11° 52° +11° 55%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
9 AM 09
Mostly clear
52° +11° 52° +11° 50%
0 in 0 mm
NW 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
10 AM 10
Mostly clear
54° +12° 54° +12° 46%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Mostly clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
11 AM 11
Mostly clear
55° +13° 55° +13° 47%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Mostly clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
12 PM 12
Mostly clear
55° +13° 55° +13° 47%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Mostly clear
Gust 20 mph 9 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
1 PM 13
Mostly clear
55° +13° 55° +13° 48%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Mostly clear
Gust 20 mph 9 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
2 PM 14
Partly cloudy
55° +13° 55° +13° 48%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Partly cloudy
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
3 PM 15
Partly cloudy
54° +12° 54° +12° 49%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Partly cloudy
Gust 25 mph 11 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
4 PM 16
Partly cloudy
54° +12° 54° +12° 50%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Partly cloudy
Gust 25 mph 11 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
5 PM 17
Partly cloudy
50° +10° 48° +9° 53%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Partly cloudy
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
6 PM 18
Mostly clear
48° +9° 46° +8° 56%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Mostly clear
Gust 20 mph 9 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
7 PM 19
Mostly clear
46° +8° 45° +7° 60%
0 in 0 mm
N 2 4
Mostly clear
Gust 20 mph 9 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
8 PM 20
Mostly clear
45° +7° 45° +7° 63%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
9 PM 21
Mostly clear
43° +6° 43° +6° 66%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
10 PM 22
Mostly clear
41° +5° 41° +5° 70%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
11 PM 23
Mostly clear
41° +5° 41° +5° 71%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance < 10%

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