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Weekend weather – Flatwillow Colony

This weekend

See Flatwillow Colony weather this weekend.

Date
Afternoon C° at 15 F° at 3 PM
Overnight C° at 03 F° at 3 AM
Wind m/s mph
Precip Total precip mm in
Fri 19
+23° 73° Mostly clear
+14° 57° Cloudy
E 3 m/s 7 mph
0 mm 0 in

Partly cloudy, evening clear.
Morning temperature of 12 °C, afternoon 23°, evening 21° and night 15°.

Partly cloudy, evening clear.
Morning temperature of 54 degrees, afternoon 74°, evening 70° and night 60°.

12 AM 24
Cloudy
57° +14° 57° +14° 58%
0 in 0 mm
E 1 2
Cloudy
Gust 4 mph 2 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
1 AM 01
Partly cloudy
55° +13° 55° +13° 60%
0 in 0 mm
E 1 2
Partly cloudy
Gust 4 mph 2 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
2 AM 02
Partly cloudy
54° +12° 54° +12° 62%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Partly cloudy
Gust 4 mph 2 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
3 AM 03
Partly cloudy
54° +12° 54° +12° 64%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Partly cloudy
Gust 4 mph 2 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
4 AM 04
Partly cloudy
52° +11° 52° +11° 66%
0 in 0 mm
N 2 4
Partly cloudy
Gust 4 mph 2 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
5 AM 05
Partly cloudy
52° +11° 52° +11° 67%
0 in 0 mm
N 2 4
Partly cloudy
Gust 7 mph 3 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
6 AM 06
Partly cloudy
52° +11° 52° +11° 69%
0 in 0 mm
N 2 4
Partly cloudy
Gust 7 mph 3 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
7 AM 07
Partly cloudy
54° +12° 54° +12° 64%
0 in 0 mm
N 2 4
Partly cloudy
Gust 11 mph 5 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
8 AM 08
Mostly clear
57° +14° 57° +14° 58%
0 in 0 mm
NE 3 7
Mostly clear
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
9 AM 09
Mostly clear
61° +16° 61° +16° 53%
0 in 0 mm
NE 4 9
Mostly clear
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
10 AM 10
Mostly clear
63° +17° 63° +17° 48%
0 in 0 mm
NE 4 9
Mostly clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
11 AM 11
Mostly clear
66° +19° 66° +19° 44%
0 in 0 mm
NE 4 9
Mostly clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
12 PM 12
Partly cloudy
70° +21° 70° +21° 39%
0 in 0 mm
E 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
1 PM 13
Mostly clear
72° +22° 72° +22° 37%
0 in 0 mm
E 3 7
Mostly clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
2 PM 14
Mostly clear
72° +22° 72° +22° 35%
0 in 0 mm
E 3 7
Mostly clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
3 PM 15
Mostly clear
73° +23° 73° +23° 33%
0 in 0 mm
E 3 7
Mostly clear
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
4 PM 16
Mostly clear
75° +24° 75° +24° 33%
0 in 0 mm
E 3 7
Mostly clear
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
5 PM 17
Clear
75° +24° 75° +24° 33%
0 in 0 mm
E 3 7
Clear
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
6 PM 18
Clear
75° +24° 75° +24° 33%
0 in 0 mm
E 4 9
Clear
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
7 PM 19
Clear
73° +23° 73° +23° 35%
0 in 0 mm
E 3 7
Clear
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
8 PM 20
Clear
72° +22° 72° +22° 37%
0 in 0 mm
E 3 7
Clear
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
9 PM 21
Clear
70° +21° 70° +21° 38%
0 in 0 mm
E 3 7
Clear
Gust 11 mph 5 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
10 PM 22
Clear
68° +20° 68° +20° 42%
0 in 0 mm
E 3 7
Clear
Gust 11 mph 5 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
11 PM 23
Mostly clear
64° +18° 64° +18° 45%
0 in 0 mm
E 4 9
Mostly clear
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
Sat 20
+26° 79° Overcast and light rain
+11° 52° Partly cloudy
E 2 m/s 4 mph
3 mm 0.12 in

Light rain, evening and night partly cloudy.
Morning temperature of 14 °C, afternoon 25°, evening 16° and night 12°.

Light rain, evening and night partly cloudy.
Morning temperature of 58 degrees, afternoon 78°, evening 61° and night 54°.

12 AM 24
Mostly clear
63° +17° 63° +17° 48%
0 in 0 mm
E 4 9
Mostly clear
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
1 AM 01
Mostly clear
61° +16° 61° +16° 51%
0 in 0 mm
E 3 7
Mostly clear
Gust 11 mph 5 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
2 AM 02
Partly cloudy
59° +15° 59° +15° 53%
0 in 0 mm
E 3 7
Partly cloudy
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
3 AM 03
Partly cloudy
57° +14° 57° +14° 55%
0 in 0 mm
E 2 4
Partly cloudy
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
4 AM 04
Cloudy
57° +14° 57° +14° 58%
0 in 0 mm
E 2 4
Cloudy
Gust 7 mph 3 m/s
Precip chance < 10%
5 AM 05
Cloudy
55° +13° 55° +13° 60%
0 in 0 mm
E 2 4
Cloudy
Gust 7 mph 3 m/s
Precip chance 11%
6 AM 06
Overcast
55° +13° 55° +13° 63%
0 in 0 mm
E 1 2
Overcast
Gust 4 mph 2 m/s
Precip chance 13%
7 AM 07
Overcast and light rain
59° +15° 59° +15° 65%
0.01 in 0.3 mm
E 2 4
Overcast and light rain
Gust 7 mph 3 m/s
Precip chance 15%
8 AM 08
Overcast and light rain
63° +17° 63° +17° 67%
0.01 in 0.3 mm
SE 2 4
Overcast and light rain
Gust 11 mph 5 m/s
Precip chance 17%
9 AM 09
Overcast and light rain
66° +19° 66° +19° 70%
0.01 in 0.3 mm
SE 3 7
Overcast and light rain
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 18%
10 AM 10
Overcast and light rain
68° +20° 68° +20° 63%
0 in 0.1 mm
SE 3 7
Overcast and light rain
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 21%
11 AM 11
Overcast and light rain
70° +21° 70° +21° 55%
0 in 0.1 mm
SE 3 7
Overcast and light rain
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 24%
12 PM 12
Overcast and light rain
73° +23° 73° +23° 48%
0 in 0.1 mm
S 3 7
Overcast and light rain
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 28%
1 PM 13
Overcast and light rain
75° +24° 75° +24° 50%
0.01 in 0.3 mm
S 2 4
Overcast and light rain
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 27%
2 PM 14
Overcast and light rain
77° +25° 77° +25° 52%
0.01 in 0.3 mm
S 1 2
Overcast and light rain
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 26%
3 PM 15
Overcast and light rain
79° +26° 79° +26° 54%
0.01 in 0.3 mm
S 1 2
Overcast and light rain
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 26%
4 PM 16
Overcast and light rain
75° +24° 75° +24° 56%
0.01 in 0.3 mm
W 0 0
Overcast and light rain
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 32%
5 PM 17
Overcast and light rain
73° +23° 73° +23° 58%
0.01 in 0.3 mm
NW 1 2
Overcast and light rain
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance 39%
6 PM 18
Overcast and light rain
70° +21° 70° +21° 59%
0.01 in 0.3 mm
NW 1 2
Overcast and light rain
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance 46%
7 PM 19
Cloudy
68° +20° 68° +20° 62%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Cloudy
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 46%
8 PM 20
Cloudy
64° +18° 64° +18° 65%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Cloudy
Gust 11 mph 5 m/s
Precip chance 45%
9 PM 21
Cloudy
63° +17° 63° +17° 67%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Cloudy
Gust 7 mph 3 m/s
Precip chance 45%
10 PM 22
Partly cloudy
61° +16° 61° +16° 70%
0 in 0 mm
NW 3 7
Partly cloudy
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 45%
11 PM 23
Partly cloudy
59° +15° 59° +15° 73%
0 in 0 mm
NW 3 7
Partly cloudy
Gust 11 mph 5 m/s
Precip chance 45%
Sun 21
+18° 64° Cloudy and light rain
+10° 50° Clear
NW 4 m/s 9 mph
1.7 mm 0.07 in

Light rain, evening and night partly cloudy.
Morning temperature of 12 °C, afternoon 17°, evening 15° and night 10°.

Light rain, evening and night partly cloudy.
Morning temperature of 54 degrees, afternoon 63°, evening 60° and night 51°.

12 AM 24
Partly cloudy
57° +14° 57° +14° 75%
0 in 0 mm
NW 3 7
Partly cloudy
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 45%
1 AM 01
Partly cloudy
55° +13° 55° +13° 75%
0 in 0 mm
NW 3 7
Partly cloudy
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance 41%
2 AM 02
Partly cloudy
55° +13° 55° +13° 75%
0 in 0 mm
NW 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance 36%
3 AM 03
Partly cloudy
54° +12° 54° +12° 74%
0 in 0 mm
NW 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 27 mph 12 m/s
Precip chance 32%
4 AM 04
Partly cloudy
52° +11° 52° +11° 74%
0 in 0 mm
NW 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 31 mph 14 m/s
Precip chance 28%
5 AM 05
Partly cloudy
52° +11° 52° +11° 74%
0 in 0 mm
NW 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 36 mph 16 m/s
Precip chance 23%
6 AM 06
Partly cloudy
52° +11° 52° +11° 73%
0 in 0 mm
NW 5 11
Partly cloudy
Gust 40 mph 18 m/s
Precip chance 19%
7 AM 07
Partly cloudy and light rain
54° +12° 54° +12° 70%
0.01 in 0.2 mm
NW 4 9
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 40 mph 18 m/s
Precip chance 20%
8 AM 08
Partly cloudy and light rain
55° +13° 55° +13° 67%
0.01 in 0.2 mm
NW 4 9
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 40 mph 18 m/s
Precip chance 22%
9 AM 09
Partly cloudy and light rain
57° +14° 57° +14° 63%
0.01 in 0.2 mm
NW 4 9
Partly cloudy and light rain
Gust 38 mph 17 m/s
Precip chance 23%
10 AM 10
Cloudy and light rain
59° +15° 59° +15° 60%
0.01 in 0.2 mm
NW 4 9
Cloudy and light rain
Gust 38 mph 17 m/s
Precip chance 24%
11 AM 11
Cloudy and light rain
61° +16° 61° +16° 57%
0.01 in 0.2 mm
NW 3 7
Cloudy and light rain
Gust 38 mph 17 m/s
Precip chance 26%
12 PM 12
Cloudy and light rain
63° +17° 63° +17° 53%
0.01 in 0.2 mm
NW 3 7
Cloudy and light rain
Gust 36 mph 16 m/s
Precip chance 27%
1 PM 13
Cloudy and light rain
63° +17° 63° +17° 52%
0 in 0.1 mm
NW 3 7
Cloudy and light rain
Gust 36 mph 16 m/s
Precip chance 29%
2 PM 14
Cloudy and light rain
64° +18° 64° +18° 51%
0 in 0.1 mm
NW 3 7
Cloudy and light rain
Gust 34 mph 15 m/s
Precip chance 31%
3 PM 15
Cloudy and light rain
64° +18° 64° +18° 49%
0 in 0.1 mm
NW 4 9
Cloudy and light rain
Gust 34 mph 15 m/s
Precip chance 33%
4 PM 16
Cloudy and light rain
64° +18° 64° +18° 48%
0 in 0.1 mm
NW 4 9
Cloudy and light rain
Gust 31 mph 14 m/s
Precip chance 35%
5 PM 17
Cloudy and light rain
64° +18° 64° +18° 47%
0 in 0.1 mm
NW 4 9
Cloudy and light rain
Gust 31 mph 14 m/s
Precip chance 37%
6 PM 18
Cloudy and light rain
64° +18° 64° +18° 46%
0 in 0.1 mm
NW 4 9
Cloudy and light rain
Gust 29 mph 13 m/s
Precip chance 39%
7 PM 19
Cloudy
63° +17° 63° +17° 49%
0 in 0 mm
NW 4 9
Cloudy
Gust 27 mph 12 m/s
Precip chance 35%
8 PM 20
Partly cloudy
61° +16° 61° +16° 53%
0 in 0 mm
NW 3 7
Partly cloudy
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance 31%
9 PM 21
Partly cloudy
59° +15° 59° +15° 57%
0 in 0 mm
NW 3 7
Partly cloudy
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance 27%
10 PM 22
Mostly clear
57° +14° 57° +14° 61%
0 in 0 mm
NW 3 7
Mostly clear
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 23%
11 PM 23
Mostly clear
55° +13° 55° +13° 64%
0 in 0 mm
NW 3 7
Mostly clear
Gust 11 mph 5 m/s
Precip chance 19%

Next weekend

See Flatwillow Colony weather next weekend.

Date
Afternoon C° at 15 F° at 3 PM
Overnight C° at 03 F° at 3 AM
Wind m/s mph
Precip Total precip mm in
Fri 26
+25° 77° Mostly clear
+15° 59° Partly cloudy
SW 1 m/s 2 mph
0 mm 0 in

Partly cloudy, morning clear.
Morning temperature of 15 °C, afternoon 25°, evening 21° and night 16°.

Partly cloudy, morning clear.
Morning temperature of 60 degrees, afternoon 78°, evening 70° and night 61°.

12 AM 24
Clear
64° +18° 64° +18° 44%
0 in 0 mm
S 1 2
Clear
Gust 34 mph 15 m/s
Precip chance 34%
1 AM 01
Clear
63° +17° 63° +17° 47%
0 in 0 mm
SW 1 2
Clear
Gust 31 mph 14 m/s
Precip chance 31%
2 AM 02
Clear
61° +16° 61° +16° 50%
0 in 0 mm
SW 1 2
Clear
Gust 27 mph 12 m/s
Precip chance 28%
3 AM 03
Clear
59° +15° 59° +15° 53%
0 in 0 mm
SW 1 2
Clear
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance 25%
4 AM 04
Clear
59° +15° 59° +15° 55%
0 in 0 mm
SW 2 4
Clear
Gust 20 mph 9 m/s
Precip chance 21%
5 AM 05
Clear
57° +14° 57° +14° 58%
0 in 0 mm
SW 2 4
Clear
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance 18%
6 AM 06
Clear
57° +14° 57° +14° 61%
0 in 0 mm
SW 2 4
Clear
Gust 11 mph 5 m/s
Precip chance 15%
7 AM 07
Clear
61° +16° 61° +16° 54%
0 in 0 mm
SW 2 4
Clear
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 14%
8 AM 08
Clear
64° +18° 64° +18° 48%
0 in 0 mm
W 1 2
Clear
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 14%
9 AM 09
Clear
68° +20° 68° +20° 41%
0 in 0 mm
W 1 2
Clear
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 13%
10 AM 10
Mostly clear
70° +21° 70° +21° 35%
0 in 0 mm
W 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance 13%
11 AM 11
Mostly clear
73° +23° 73° +23° 28%
0 in 0 mm
NW 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance 12%
12 PM 12
Mostly clear
75° +24° 75° +24° 21%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance 12%
1 PM 13
Mostly clear
77° +25° 77° +25° 21%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 20 mph 9 m/s
Precip chance 13%
2 PM 14
Mostly clear
77° +25° 77° +25° 20%
0 in 0 mm
N 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance 15%
3 PM 15
Mostly clear
77° +25° 77° +25° 19%
0 in 0 mm
NW 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 25 mph 11 m/s
Precip chance 17%
4 PM 16
Mostly clear
77° +25° 77° +25° 18%
0 in 0 mm
NW 1 2
Mostly clear
Gust 27 mph 12 m/s
Precip chance 19%
5 PM 17
Mostly clear
77° +25° 77° +25° 17%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Mostly clear
Gust 31 mph 14 m/s
Precip chance 21%
6 PM 18
Partly cloudy
77° +25° 77° +25° 17%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Partly cloudy
Gust 34 mph 15 m/s
Precip chance 23%
7 PM 19
Partly cloudy
75° +24° 75° +24° 20%
0 in 0 mm
NW 1 2
Partly cloudy
Gust 31 mph 14 m/s
Precip chance 23%
8 PM 20
Partly cloudy
73° +23° 73° +23° 23%
0 in 0 mm
NW 1 2
Partly cloudy
Gust 29 mph 13 m/s
Precip chance 24%
9 PM 21
Partly cloudy
72° +22° 72° +22° 26%
0 in 0 mm
W 1 2
Partly cloudy
Gust 25 mph 11 m/s
Precip chance 24%
10 PM 22
Partly cloudy
68° +20° 68° +20° 29%
0 in 0 mm
SW 1 2
Partly cloudy
Gust 22 mph 10 m/s
Precip chance 24%
11 PM 23
Partly cloudy
66° +19° 66° +19° 32%
0 in 0 mm
SW 1 2
Partly cloudy
Gust 20 mph 9 m/s
Precip chance 25%
Sat 27
+26° 79° Partly cloudy
+15° 59° Cloudy
W 3 m/s 7 mph
0 mm 0 in

Partly cloudy.
Morning temperature of 16 °C, afternoon 25°, evening 21° and night 16°.

Partly cloudy.
Morning temperature of 61 degrees, afternoon 78°, evening 70° and night 61°.

12 AM 24
Partly cloudy
64° +18° 64° +18° 35%
0 in 0 mm
S 2 4
Partly cloudy
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance 25%
1 AM 01
Partly cloudy
63° +17° 63° +17° 37%
0 in 0 mm
SW 2 4
Partly cloudy
Gust 18 mph 8 m/s
Precip chance 24%
2 AM 02
Partly cloudy
61° +16° 61° +16° 38%
0 in 0 mm
SW 2 4
Partly cloudy
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance 22%
3 AM 03
Partly cloudy
59° +15° 59° +15° 40%
0 in 0 mm
SW 3 7
Partly cloudy
Gust 16 mph 7 m/s
Precip chance 21%
4 AM 04
Partly cloudy
59° +15° 59° +15° 42%
0 in 0 mm
SW 3 7
Partly cloudy
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 19%
5 AM 05
Partly cloudy
59° +15° 59° +15° 44%
0 in 0 mm
SW 3 7
Partly cloudy
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 18%
6 AM 06
Partly cloudy
57° +14° 57° +14° 45%
0 in 0 mm
SW 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 17%
7 AM 07
Partly cloudy
61° +16° 61° +16° 41%
0 in 0 mm
SW 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 17%
8 AM 08
Partly cloudy
64° +18° 64° +18° 36%
0 in 0 mm
W 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 17%
9 AM 09
Partly cloudy
68° +20° 68° +20° 31%
0 in 0 mm
W 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 17%
10 AM 10
Partly cloudy
70° +21° 70° +21° 26%
0 in 0 mm
W 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 17%
11 AM 11
Partly cloudy
73° +23° 73° +23° 22%
0 in 0 mm
W 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 17%
12 PM 12
Partly cloudy
75° +24° 75° +24° 17%
0 in 0 mm
W 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 17%
1 PM 13
Partly cloudy
77° +25° 77° +25° 17%
0 in 0 mm
NW 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 17%
2 PM 14
Partly cloudy
77° +25° 77° +25° 16%
0 in 0 mm
NW 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 17%
3 PM 15
Partly cloudy
79° +26° 79° +26° 16%
0 in 0 mm
NW 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 18%
4 PM 16
Partly cloudy
79° +26° 79° +26° 16%
0 in 0 mm
NW 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 18%
5 PM 17
Partly cloudy
79° +26° 79° +26° 16%
0 in 0 mm
NW 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 18%
6 PM 18
Partly cloudy
79° +26° 79° +26° 15%
0 in 0 mm
NW 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 13 mph 6 m/s
Precip chance 19%
7 PM 19
Partly cloudy
75° +24° 75° +24° 18%
0 in 0 mm
NW 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 11 mph 5 m/s
Precip chance 20%
8 PM 20
Partly cloudy
73° +23° 73° +23° 21%
0 in 0 mm
NW 4 9
Partly cloudy
Gust 11 mph 5 m/s
Precip chance 22%
9 PM 21
Partly cloudy
72° +22° 72° +22° 24%
0 in 0 mm
NW 3 7
Partly cloudy
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 23%
10 PM 22
Partly cloudy
70° +21° 70° +21° 27%
0 in 0 mm
NW 3 7
Partly cloudy
Gust 9 mph 4 m/s
Precip chance 25%
11 PM 23
Partly cloudy
66° +19° 66° +19° 30%
0 in 0 mm
NW 2 4
Partly cloudy
Gust 7 mph 3 m/s
Precip chance 27%

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